I have been for some time now very hopeful about the outlook for Photovoltaic (Solar-cells/panels) energy becoming the backbone of the global economic engine. PV technology is the kissing cousin of our beloved consumer electronics and has enjoyed a very similar curve of bangs for the bucks as the latter.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...ficiencies.png
With the cost of our traditional sources of energy being fairly stagnant, the cost per Kilowatt of PV will soon plunge through the barrier of impractical to economically desirable. This offers us the opportunity to reshape civilization using the carrot that everyone want$
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http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/re_futures/
Key Findings
Renewable electricity generation from technologies that are commercially available today, in combination with a more flexible electric system, is more than adequate to supply 80% of total U.S. electricity generation in 2050 while meeting electricity demand on an hourly basis in every region of the country.
Increased electric system flexibility, needed to enable electricity supply and demand balance with high levels of renewable generation, can come from a portfolio of supply- and demand-side options, including flexible conventional generation, grid storage, new transmission, more responsive loads, and changes in power system operations.
The abundance and diversity of U.S. renewable energy resources can support multiple combinations of renewable technologies that result in deep reductions in electric sector greenhouse gas emissions and water use.
The direct incremental cost associated with high renewable generation is comparable to published cost estimates of other clean energy scenarios. Improvement in the cost and performance of renewable technologies is the most impactful lever for reducing this incremental cost.
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Wind power appears to offer significant economic advantages in certain locations, but you won’t be able to get tree-huggers like myself on-board as long as you are decimating Avian Apex Predators. If you agree that global warming represents a clear & present danger to humanity then thrashing a Woodstock Woody around over a few eagles probably sounds anal. However, human survival is just a dependent on our balanced relationship with the other inhabitants of this planet. Consider that birds of prey counter the massive reproductive potential of rodents, and then look at the list below in following post.
PV and Thermal or Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) have environmental footprints as well, but I would argue that, PV in particular, treads lightly. All things considered.
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http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/o...lar-power.html
Land Use
Estimates for utility-scale PV systems range from 3.5 to 10 acres per megawatt, while estimates for CSP facilities are between 4 and 16.5 acres per megawatt.
Unlike wind facilities, there is less opportunity for solar projects to share land with agricultural uses. However, land impacts from utility-scale solar systems can be minimized by siting them at lower-quality locations such as brownfields, abandoned mining land, or existing transportation and transmission corridors [1, 2]. Smaller scale solar PV arrays, which can be built on homes or commercial buildings, also have minimal land use impact.
Hazardous Materials
The PV cell manufacturing process includes a number of hazardous materials, most of which are used to clean and purify the semiconductor surface. These chemicals, similar to those used in the general semiconductor industry, include hydrochloric acid, sulfuric acid, nitric acid, hydrogen fluoride, 1,1,1-trichloroethane, and acetone. The amount and type of chemicals used depends on the type of cell, the amount of cleaning that is needed, and the size of silicon wafer [4]. Workers also face risks associated with inhaling silicon dust. Thus, PV manufactures must follow U.S. laws to ensure that workers are not harmed by exposure to these chemicals and that manufacturing waste products are disposed of properly.
Thin-film PV cells contain a number of more toxic materials than those used in traditional silicon photovoltaic cells, including gallium arsenide, copper-indium-gallium-diselenide, and cadmium-telluride[5]. If not handled and disposed of properly, these materials could pose serious environmental or public health threats. However, manufacturers have a strong financial incentive to ensure that these highly valuable and often rare materials are recycled rather than thrown away.
Life-Cycle Global Warming Emissions
While there are no global warming emissions associated with generating electricity from solar energy, there are emissions associated with other stages of the solar life-cycle, including manufacturing, materials transportation, installation, maintenance, and decommissioning and dismantlement. Most estimates of life-cycle emissions for photovoltaic systems are between 0.07 and 0.18 pounds of carbon dioxide equivalent per kilowatt-hour.
Most estimates for concentrating solar power range from 0.08 to 0.2 pounds of carbon dioxide equivalent per kilowatt-hour. In both cases, this is far less than the lifecycle emission rates for natural gas (0.6-2 lbs of CO2E/kWh) and coal (1.4-3.6 lbs of CO2E/kWh)
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Having said as much, the issues with Rare-Earths needs to be explored further. More so than I personally have done thus far.
One of the major concerns with PV is the need to store energy during times of surplus to be used at times of demand and no sun. Innovations of industrial-scale electric storage are now being researched and it can be something as simple as pumping water up a dam during the day to be released to spin generators at night. Or something as high-tech as a molten metal battery.
Donald Sadoway: The missing link to renewable energy (15:15) TED
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sddb0Khx0yA
Of course in any storage method is going to incur loss of energy, but the ultimate source is going to be a rock-steady supply for billions of years.
An Idea I have is to see PV happen at the grassroots. A government backed initiative that fully exploits human nature instead of creating new problems by ignoring it in the equation.
I would like the see government offer zero interest loans to homeowners in order that they might install PV units on their roof-tops and have them plugged into grid allowing the homeowner to sale surplus back to the utility. The installation cost and size of array should be calculated to (at the very least) to return the cost of the loan in energy savings.
The loan payments would be factored into the owner’s or renter’s utility bill.
Every room in the house should be supplied with a digital display read-out of the current cost or earnings (by selling back to the grid) of electricity.
I think having this constantly in the mind, and the potential to actually receive a small check from the utility company at the end of the month, would induce a CouponZilla Effect where folks will go out of their way to be conservationist.
This is just an idea I pulled out of my ass, but the future looks bright for solar and I think it is time we started seriously looking at PV being a part of our future in a big way.
What sorts of ideas would you like see explored?
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http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/re_futures/
Key Findings
Renewable electricity generation from technologies that are commercially available today, in combination with a more flexible electric system, is more than adequate to supply 80% of total U.S. electricity generation in 2050 while meeting electricity demand on an hourly basis in every region of the country.
Increased electric system flexibility, needed to enable electricity supply and demand balance with high levels of renewable generation, can come from a portfolio of supply- and demand-side options, including flexible conventional generation, grid storage, new transmission, more responsive loads, and changes in power system operations.
The abundance and diversity of U.S. renewable energy resources can support multiple combinations of renewable technologies that result in deep reductions in electric sector greenhouse gas emissions and water use.
The direct incremental cost associated with high renewable generation is comparable to published cost estimates of other clean energy scenarios. Improvement in the cost and performance of renewable technologies is the most impactful lever for reducing this incremental cost.
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Wall Street Journal
Utilities Facing a 'Mortal Threat' From Solar
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/...81820753301976
Solar Power--Revolution Backlight Documentary 2013 (48:20)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qu1V2IUALJc
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